Bitter Consequences

Netanyahu is going to be meeting with Obama on the 5th, and it will be America’s last chance to convince Israel that the US can be trusted to handle the Iranian nuclear problem.

And, the funny thing is that Israel actually WANTS to be convinced. Israel WANTS to believe that America can be trusted. Israel WANTS to believe that America will not betray her, as the US has done in the past. Israel WANTS America to take the lead.

Unfortunately, Israel KNOWS that America cannot be trusted. Israel KNOWS that America will betray anyone and everyone. And, Israel KNOWS that America will not take the lead and do what’s necessary.

So, with America’s history of betrayal of the State of Israel, what guarantee can America offer Israel that will keep her from acting in her own defense?

I cannot think of any way that America can make a promise that Israel will believe.

And yes, Israel is fully aware of the devastating economic consequences of an attack on Iran. An attack on Iran will cause the price of oil to skyrocket, and the world economy will almost assuredly collapse.

Israel knows this.

However, Israel also knows that Israel’s security is ultimately the responsibility of Israel, and she may find that she has no other choice than to go ahead with an attack, anyway.

If that happens, it will be the world’s fault for having betrayed Israel at almost every step in her history. If the world had supported Israel instead, Israel would have been inclined to listen and wait for the world to act.

I suspect that the world is about to learn that bitter consequences spring from betrayal – very, very bitter consequences, indeed.

Israel’s Last Chance to Strike Iran
by Amos Yadlin, The New York Times, February 29, 2012

ON June 7, 1981, I was one of eight Israeli fighter pilots who bombed the Iraqi nuclear reactor at Osirak. As we sat in the briefing room listening to the army chief of staff, Rafael Eitan, before starting our planes’ engines, I recalled a conversation a week earlier when he’d asked us to voice any concerns about our mission.

We told him about the risks we foresaw: running out of fuel, Iraqi retaliation, how a strike could harm our relationship with America, and the limited impact a successful mission might have — perhaps delaying Iraq’s nuclear quest by only a few years. Listening to today’s debates about Iran, we hear the same arguments and face the same difficulties, even though we understand it is not 1981.

Shortly after we destroyed Osirak, the Israeli defense attaché in Washington was called into the Pentagon. He was expecting a rebuke. Instead, he was faced with a single question: How did you do it? The United States military had assumed that the F-16 aircraft they had provided to Israel had neither the range nor the ordnance to attack Iraq successfully. The mistake then, as now, was to underestimate Israel’s military ingenuity.

We had simply maximized fuel efficiency and used experienced pilots, trained specifically for this mission. We ejected our external fuel tanks en route to Iraq and then attacked the reactor with pinpoint accuracy from so close and such a low altitude that our unguided bombs were as accurate and effective as precision-guided munitions.

Today, Israel sees the prospect of a nuclear Iran that calls for our annihilation as an existential threat. An Israeli strike against Iran would be a last resort, if all else failed to persuade Iran to abandon its nuclear weapons program. That moment of decision will occur when Iran is on the verge of shielding its nuclear facilities from a successful attack — what Israel’s leaders have called the “zone of immunity.”

Read the whole article here.


Last Netanyahu-Obama meeting before Iran strike?

Thursday, March 01, 2012 | Ryan Jones, Israel Today

The mainstream media this week made much of reports that Israel had refused a request to provide the US with advanced warning of any plans to strike Iran’s nuclear facilities.

But that may be just what Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is doing as he prepares to depart for Washington this weekend. Some speculate that Monday’s White House meeting may be the last face-to-face between Netanyahu and US President Barack Obama before an inevitable Israeli move on Iran.

In the run-up that the meeting, Obama Administration officials are talking tough on Iran, and suggesting that earlier statement to the effect that the US would not back an Israeli strike were erroneous.

“It’s absolutely clear that the president’s policy is to prevent Iran from having nuclear weapons capability,” Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told the US House Committee on Foreign Affairs on Wednesday.

Clinton’s statement was important in that she emphasized that, like Israel, the US is not willing to wait until Iran is actually building or fielding a nuclear weapon, but rather is determined to prevent Iran from even gaining the capability to do so.

Also on Wednesday, US Air Force Chief of Staff Gen. Norton Schwartz revealed to reporters that the US has prepared strike plans of its own, and will likely execute them if Israel goes to war with Iran.

Tough talk is one thing, but former Israeli military intelligence chief Amos Yadlin said that Netanyahu will be seeking firm assurances when he meets with Obama.

Read the rest of the article here.