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Category Archive for 'Syria'

Worried About Damascus

That may surprise you. Why would anyone worry about Damascus?

Well, first of all, Israel is worried about Damascus. And when the Israelis start worrying about ANYTHING, it’s time for YOU to start worrying. Unfortunately, they aren’t worried about anything normal such as all out war. They’re worried about something far worse – stock piles of nerve gas, mustard gas and other WMDs. They’re also worried that, as Bashar Assad goes down, Syria will use those stock piles on her own people – and on Israel.

That may surprise you. Why would anyone worry about Damascus?

Well, first of all, Israel is worried about Damascus. And when the Israelis start worrying about ANYTHING, it’s time for YOU to start worrying. Unfortunately, they aren’t worried about anything normal such as all out war. They’re worried about something far worse – stock piles of nerve gas, mustard gas and other WMDs. They’re also worried that, as Bashar Assad goes down, Syria will use those stock piles on her own people – and on Israel.

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Assad Might Survive

And THAT is disappointing.

Really disappointing.

STRATFOR is pretty good at making these calls, and apparently they see a possibility that Assad might muddle through in his attempt to save his regime from complete destruction.

The good news is that, he might be so weakened that his ability to meddle in the affairs of Syria’s neighbors could be seriously blunted.

The other thing is that we cannot be sure who will gain power in Syria if Assad falls. When Egypt fell, the Muslim Brotherhood took over. Is there a Syrian version of the Muslim Brotherhood ready to jump into the vacuum left by the failure of the Assad regime?

And THAT is disappointing.

Really disappointing.

STRATFOR is pretty good at making these calls, and apparently they see a possibility that Assad might muddle through in his attempt to save his regime from complete destruction.

The good news is that, he might be so weakened that his ability to meddle in the affairs of Syria’s neighbors could be seriously blunted.

The other thing is that we cannot be sure who will gain power in Syria if Assad falls. When Egypt fell, the Muslim Brotherhood took over. Is there a Syrian version of the Muslim Brotherhood ready to jump into the vacuum left by the failure of the Assad regime?

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Syria Falling Apart

Believe it or not, I don’t like seeing ANY country falling apart.

I don’t like seeing the Palestinians falling apart. I don’t like seeing Iran fall apart. I don’t want to see ANYONE fallĀ  apart.

And, that goes for Syria.

Unfortunately, they’ve brought it on themselves, so there is a sense of poetic justice here. But, ‘poetic justice’ doesn’t feed a starving population, or bring men and women back from the dead.

Nor does it mean that any successful revolution in Syria will learn to be a good neighbor to those countries around them. Very few revolutions end up with benign governments, and I fear that this Syrian revolution will be but the first in a number of bloody revolts.

Believe it or not, I don’t like seeing ANY country falling apart.

I don’t like seeing the Palestinians falling apart. I don’t like seeing Iran fall apart. I don’t want to see ANYONE fallĀ  apart.

And, that goes for Syria.

Unfortunately, they’ve brought it on themselves, so there is a sense of poetic justice here. But, ‘poetic justice’ doesn’t feed a starving population, or bring men and women back from the dead.

Nor does it mean that any successful revolution in Syria will learn to be a good neighbor to those countries around them. Very few revolutions end up with benign governments, and I fear that this Syrian revolution will be but the first in a number of bloody revolts.

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Good News and Even Better News

As a follow on to what I posted yesterday, it appears that the Israel Defense Force (IDF) is saying that the current leader of Syria really is going to be ousted. They even give coherent reasons why they think that this will be the case.

But, there’s better news buried towards the end of the article. Much better.

It seems that Iran is further away from a nuclear weapon than others seem to think. And, the IDF source gives good reasons why they think this way.

As a follow on to what I posted yesterday, it appears that the Israel Defense Force (IDF) is saying that the current leader of Syria really is going to be ousted. They even give coherent reasons why they think that this will be the case.

But, there’s better news buried towards the end of the article. Much better.

It seems that Iran is further away from a nuclear weapon than others seem to think. And, the IDF source gives good reasons why they think this way.

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Assad Out Within Weeks

That’s according to Ehud Barak, Israel’s Minister of Defense. That’s a pretty credible source, so maybe we should start thinking more about what happens AFTER Assad goes down.

The problem is that no one really knows what will happen when the Assad regime bites the dust. Iran will certainly be hurt by this. Some even say that it will be big trouble for Ahmadinejad and Khamenei. Turkey will certainly increase its influence in the region, since that country has been a vital supporter of the Syrian rebels.

Will it be good for Israel?

Very good question.

That’s according to Ehud Barak, Israel’s Minister of Defense. That’s a pretty credible source, so maybe we should start thinking more about what happens AFTER Assad goes down.

The problem is that no one really knows what will happen when the Assad regime bites the dust. Iran will certainly be hurt by this. Some even say that it will be big trouble for Ahmadinejad and Khamenei. Turkey will certainly increase its influence in the region, since that country has been a vital supporter of the Syrian rebels.

Will it be good for Israel?

Very good question.

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