On Thursday, I indicated that I didn’t think that there is anything that Israel could do to stop Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. Just putting their production facilities underground will put them out of reach of any conventional attack.
And, an unconventional attack would be unthinkable – at least for now.
So, will Israel attack to at least buy time?
Will they attack while the Iranian nuclear program has at least SOME kind of vulnerability?
Even though they’ll pay a huge price internationally?
From a strategic (even tactical) point of view – assuming that I’m not missing something important – I would probably say no. Of course, my assumption is based on (1) US has given Israel iron-clad promises that they would deal with the situation and (2) nuclear weapons production has already been set up in the Fordo bunker.
However, if any of those two assumptions are false, then Israel would have to attack Iran, and do it before that bunker is complete.
But, we aren’t talking about generals here. The decision to attack, or not attack, will be made by politicians that have to look their constituents in the eye and say that they did the best that they could. These democratically elected leaders know that Iran is serious about finishing the job that Hitler started, and they need to be able to say that they did everything that they could to stop yet another holocaust.
And, if it only delays the inevitable?
Well, holocaust later is better than holocaust now.
Israel certainly cannot do nothing.
Here’s Charles Krauthammer with a cogent summary of the situation:
If you don’t see the above video, go here:
To add a bit of background, this also appeared on Fox, the same day:
If you don’t see the above video, go here:
And, as if that wasn’t enough, we have an article from Reza Kahlili that paints an even darker picture.
Countdown! Iran’s finger on nuclear trigger
2 warheads, payloads could be weaponized in weeks
By Reza Kahlili, WND
WASHINGTON – Iranian nuclear experts have completed the component for a nuclear bomb trigger, overcoming a major obstacle in obtaining the bomb, according to sources within Iran.
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As reported last May, the Iranian nuclear and military industries, under the order of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, were to weaponize at least two warheads with a nuclear payload no later than next month.
Sources within the Revolutionary Guards reveal that the work on the trigger is taking place covertly under the control of the Guards in the cities of Darkhovin and Isfahan.
Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, the main brain behind the Iranian nuclear bomb program, is guiding the project. Fakhrizadeh reportedly reports directly to Khamenei and is under tight security because of the assassination of other Iranian nuclear scientists.
The Islamic regime has rejected several requests by the International Atomic Energy Agency to interview him. The U.N. nuclear watchdog believes Fakhrizadeh was responsible for the project “111,” which would convert highly enriched uranium into metal for a nuclear warhead and its reentry design.
The IAEA last November indicated that Iran had experimented with firing multiple detonators with a high level of simultaneity. The report also indicated that Iran as early as 2003 began a large-scale experiment to initiate a high-explosive charge in the form of a hemispherical shell. This indicates work on a nuclear bomb.
According to Sepahonline, which is close to the Revolutionary Guards, Iranian nuclear bomb progress is overseen by the supreme leader’s military adviser, Rahim Safavi, a former chief commander of the Guards, and a cleric, Mohsen Ghomi, who has communicated the will of the supreme leader for a speedy completion of the project. These activities are taking place at several secret locations unknown to the IAEA. One location reportedly is in the city of Mobarake, south west of Isfahan.
Peter Vincent Pry, executive director of the newly established Task Force on National and Homeland Security, a congressional advisory board, concludes from IAEA intelligence that Iran’s nuclear weapons program is very advanced.
”Iran has already developed hemispherical explosive lenses and highly precise detonators,” Pry states, “a clear indicator Iran is working on, or has already built, an implosion-type nuclear weapon. The United States used an implosion atomic bomb during World War II to destroy Nagasaki.”
Pry notes that reports that Iran is working on an atomic trigger – a device that helps initiate the fission reaction that results in a nuclear explosion – indicates that Iran’s nuclear weaponization is advanced, since this is one of the last steps toward building an atomic warhead. Centrifuge technology has enabled Pakistan, North Korea and now Iran to enrich uranium to weapons grade without requiring enormous, and impossible to disguise, gaseous diffusion plants, thus enabling those countries to build nuclear weapons clandestinely.
”The U.S. Manhattan Project produced two atomic bombs of radically different designs in just three years,” Pry says, “yet Iran has supposedly been struggling to build a nuclear weapon for two decades. Some of us believe Iran may already have nuclear weapons but has concealed this from the West in order to avoid a preemptive strike until such time as Iran’s nuclear status will become irreversible, as with North Korea.”