Our boy Ahmadinejad has extricated himself from a rather difficult situation and won back a few of the PR points that he lost internationally, and gained A LOT of publicity domestically – which is what he is MOST concerned about right now.
The friends and family of the British sailors breathed a sigh of relief. The British government breathed a sigh of relief. The United States breathed a sigh of relief.
In fact, everyone probably breathed a sigh of relief.
It could have gone very, very bad very, very quickly.
Instead, it will now get very, very bad very, very slowly. This escalation on the part of the Iranians is a bad sign.
How bad of a sign? And what kind of a sign? From my rather distant outpost, it can be a Little difficult to be certain. It could be a sign of rogue elements within the regime. It could be a sign of Iran’s desire to test the resolve of the West – a resolve that came back tarnished. It could be a sign of domestic instability that needed a confrontation with the West to stablize. It could be a sign of Iran’s need to throw up another issue to smokescreen their nuclear activities.
Or it could be all of those, and more.