Ahmadinejad has had a setback. I know that you are upset by this, and believe me. I feel your pain.
Local council elections in Iran have sent a message to the Iranian president that he needs to straighten up and fly right (or, at least a bit more to the left).
True, local council elections don’t have direct impact on the Iranian government, but they are generallyÂ a good indicator of a shift in the mood of the average Iranian voter.
What are they upset about?
Well, in the imortal words of our boy Bill, “It’s the economy, stupid!”
The average Iranian is out of work, underpaid and over educated for what work they can find. And, they are leaving in droves. (or, in as many droves as can fit on an airplane.)
By the way, how many people do you need to make up a drove. I never have figured that one out.
And, the ones that are leaving Iran are the best educated. The engineers. The scientists. The doctors. The liberal minded.
That’s the thing that worries me most. People with educations are generally more liberal minded, more moderate, more willing to live-and-let-live when it comes to foreign policy, people of other faiths, and… Israel. Especially, Israel.
All of this must give the ayatollahs (big religious leaders)Â andÂ the mullahs (little religious leaders) in Iran pause for thought. These guys are the REAL rulers and hold the REAL power in Iran. They hold power through force of religion. Well, more accurately, they control the military through their religious power, which means that they have the guns.
But, those with the guns get a little nervous when the average Yussef (Joe) gets upset. Too many upset Yussefs and they will need let go of some of their power, and trust me. Mullahs HATE that. It’s against their… um… religion.
Of course, with all the educated moderates leaving, the mullahs might feel that the situation isn’t so bad. Moderates and Mullahs don’t mix.
The problem is this. In the game of pressure, who’s winning? Are there enough moderates fleeing Iran, and letting off some of the pressure. Or, will the economic woes of Iran force the religious leaders of Iran into harsher and harsher measures?
I think that I know this one, ‘cuz Billy said it best:
“It’s the economy, stupid!”